Episode Details
Back to EpisodesEp 49 - I say overcapacity, you say involution, let’s call the whole thing off
Published 4 months, 2 weeks ago
Description
In mid-2024, Beijing rebranded its overcapacity problems as “involution.” Does it matter? As the bard would say, a rose by any other name…
And yet, over time it’s become clear that this was more than just a rebranding exercise. Along with the change in name came a subtle shift in how Beijing perceives its overcapacity problems – a shift that has important policy implications.
In this podcast, Trivium Co-founder Andrew Polk and Dinny McMahon, Head of Markets Research, talk all things involution. The gents discuss:
- How the concept of involution differs from that of overcapacity
- Why Beijing doesn’t think overcapacity can exist in a global free market
- What Beijing’s anti-involution efforts look like
- And what it all means for the rest of the world
Then, Andrew wraps things up with a brief rundown of the most recent developments in the US-China trade truce.