Episode Details
Back to Episodes
12-4-25 Fed Regime Change - Is Groupthink Finally Ending?
Published 1 month ago
Description
Is the era of Fed groupthink finally coming to an end?
For over a decade, the Federal Reserve has operated under a powerful consensus framework—one where dissent has been rare and the Chair’s view has dominated policy outcomes. But shifting politics, rising dissenting votes, and increasing disagreements among FOMC members may signal a new regime change at the Fed.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down:
0:00 - INTRO
0:19 - ISM Report Shows Abnormality of Markets
4:45 - Markets Prep for Year End Rally
9:33 - 2026 Economic Summit Tease
10:32 - Will Kevin Hassett Be the Next Fed Chairman?
13:25 - Is Fed Groupthink Ending?
16:13 - How a Split Fed Vote Could Affect Markets
18:02 - How About a Pre-2000 Fed?
24:08 - "Reserve Management" is Code for QE0:35 - It's All About Liquidity
27:01 - Data Center Power Ramp-up
29:56 - E-mail: Tariff Decision Impact on Markets
33:11 - What is the Impact of Rate Changes on the US Dollar?
36:17 - Inflation Remains
37:04 - The Shifting Narratives - AI & Debt
39:08 - Narratives are Rationalizations for What's Happening
43:28 - Market Breadth is not Great
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jvNL-iyGgj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
-------
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Fed Regime Change: Groupthink May Be Ending"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fed-regime-change-groupthink-may-be-ending/
--------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility May Precede Santa Claus Rally," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnOnz8np7ps&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:"
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator
-------
Watch our previous show, "Trump Accounts Explained: Who Qualifies for the Dell Deal?" here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GdOXH7vQrt8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
--------
Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
#SantaClausRally #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #YearEndRally #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #MarketLiquidity