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NFL Week 11 Player Props & Circa Million Picks: Bijan, JJ, Waddle & More | Brad Thomas & Ryan McKee | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 174)
Episode 2435
It’s the Week 11 player props and Stephceptions episode of The Stephie Smalls Show, and we’re loading the slip. Betting analyst Brad Thomas joins Stephie to break down his favorite props before Producer Ryan McKee hops on for this week’s Circa Million ATS card.
Brad opens with a QB ground-game special: Drake Maye rushing overs against the Jets, plus JJ McCarthy’s legs vs. the Bears, where Chicago is quietly giving up the most rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. From there, they hit Bucs–Bills, talking Baker Mayfield’s passing yards and the deep-target potential for Emeka Egbuka and Tez Johnson, then slide into DeAndre Swift’s rush attempts vs. the Vikings and Jalen Warren’s receiving work against the Bengals.
The prop menu keeps rolling: a spicy alt ladder on TreVeyon Henderson against the Jets, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards vs. the Panthers, and Jaylen Waddle’s reception total against the Commanders. Stephie also fires on longest-reception angles with Zach Ertz vs. the Dolphins, Christian Watson vs. the Giants, and shots on Noah Fant and Trey Tucker to cash one big catch. There’s even some love (and exasperation) for a buy-low Justin Jefferson spot against Chicago, plus a sneaky college football rushing prop on Jeff Sims at Arizona State.
In the Extra Holes segment, Producer Ryan jumps in with Prison Picks from Tiny in Yuma and helps lock in their Week 11 Circa Million card: Texans –6.5 vs. Titans, Falcons –3.5 vs. Panthers, Seahawks +3 vs. Rams, Chiefs –3.5 vs. Broncos, and Lions +2.5 vs. Eagles.
The Stephie Smalls Show goes live Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday at 6 PM ET on YouTube. Catch the audio on Spotify, Apple, and everywhere you get podcasts. Like, subscribe, rate, and drop your favorite Week 11 prop in the comments.
00:00 intro
01:08 Brad Thomas joins
03:02 Bucs–Bills preview
03:59 Drake Maye rushing
05:10 JJ McCarthy rushing
06:14 Baker passing yards
07:28 Egbuka long reception
08:21 Swift rushing attempts
09:35 Jalen Warren receiving
10:28 TreVeyon Henderson props
12:15 Bijan Robinson rushing
14:39 Jaylen Waddle receptions
16:21 Dolphins–Commanders thoughts
16:29 Rams–Seahawks breakdown
18:59 Dalton Schultz props
20:44 Justin Jefferson debate
23:12 longest reception picks
28:22 Giants secondary angles
29:03 Trey Tucker long
29:39 Cade Otton touchdown
30:03 Jeff Sims rushing
31:26 Extra Holes intro
33:04 Circa picks discussion
35:55 Texans–Falcons–Chiefs picks
37:24 Lions vs Eagles
39:35 Seattle +3 locked
40:13 final pick recap
41:11 Gronk vs Skattebo
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Published on 1 month, 1 week ago