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Are We Seeing the First Cracks in the AI Trade?

Episode 83 Published 3 months, 1 week ago
Description

AI has driven tech stocks to new heights — but are we starting to see cracks in the story? Amber Kanwar sits down with Shane Obata of Middlefield to find out whether the AI trade is running out of steam or just gearing up for its next phase. From Nvidia’s dominance to rising capital costs across the sector, Shane explains where investors should stay cautious and where the next wave of profits could come from — and why, in this market, all roads still lead to OpenAI.

In the Mailbag, Shane weighs in on AMD (AMD) and its new deal with OpenAI, why Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) still shines despite China risks, and how Salesforce (CRM) stacks up against Microsoft (MSFT) in the software wars. He breaks down Meta’s (META) need for a new “shiny object,” calls Apple (AAPL) the ultimate safety trade, and explains how Amazon (AMZN)’s rebound in AWS shows its AI story is far from over.

In Pro Picks, Shane shares three fresh ideas beyond the Mag 7: Samsung Electronics, poised to benefit from a global memory crunch; Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), ready to soar on the back of Grand Theft Auto VI; and Alibaba (BABA), a contrarian bet on China’s tech revival. He also reveals the theme he says will define 2026 — power — the hidden force driving the entire AI buildout.

Timestamps
00:00 Show intro
02:10 It’s been a crazy year for tech, but you need to have it
04:50 Why was it a tough earnings season for tech and is this an opportunity ?
07:35 All roads lead to OpenAI
11:30 How do you responsibly allocate for AI?
16:00 ITM Mailbag: Advanced Micro Devices stock (AMD)
21:45 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock (TSMC)
24:30 Salesforce stock (CRM)
28:30 Meta stock (META)
34:40 Amazon stock (AMZN)
37:25 Shopify stock (SHOP) 

39:00 Constellation Software stock (CSU) 

46:00 Shane’s Pro Picks ( Samsung, Take-Two Interactive, Alibaba)


Sponsors

For 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.

The mailbag is brought to you by BMO ETFs. If you're a DIY investor looking to take control of your portfolio, BMO ETFs makes it easy. 

Check out the ETF Compare Tool, Stock Replacement Tool, and News and Insights under the Tools section at bmoetfs.com — perfect for analyzing your options, spotting trends, and building a portfolio that fits your goals and timeline.


Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information

The mailbag is brought to you by BMO ETFs. If you're a DIY investor looking to take control of your portfolio, BMO ETFs makes it easy. 

Check out the ETF Compare Tool, Stock Replacement Tool, and News and Insights under the Tools section at www.bmoetfs.com — perfect for analyzing your options, spotting trends, and building a portfolio that fits your goals and timeline.

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DISCLAIMERS 

The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or compan

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