Episode 229
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Gold just cleared $4,000 an ounce while stocks hover near highs—a rare split-screen of optimism and caution. In this episode, I break down what's actually pushing gold up, stress-test its "safe haven" reputation, and evaluate whether it truly protects against inflation. We'll finish with a simple, rules-based way to decide if gold deserves a small place in a long-term portfolio—or none at all.
Key takeaways:
► What's driving gold now: the role of central-bank buying, macro uncertainty, interest rates, and the dollar.
► Why "safe haven" isn't a free pass: what history says about mean reversion, drawdowns, and volatility.
► Inflation reality check: how stocks and real estate have delivered positive real returns when inflation is >4%—and why gold hasn't—plus when TIPS are the right hedge for specific future expenses.
► A practical allocation framework: when 0%, a small sleeve, or a strict 0–5% target makes sense—and how to set rebalancing rules so you can stick with the plan.
Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions.
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The commentary in this "post" (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client.
References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.
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Published on 10 hours ago
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