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9-19-25 Gold, Jobs & the Fed - Axel Merk’s Market Outlook
Published 3 months, 3 weeks ago
Description
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios.
0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments
2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history.
4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention.
6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers.
8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not.
9:35 - How the Fed intervenes
10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late.
12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates.
14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not)
16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not.
18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners)
21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical
22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction?
24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion
26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold)
28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams
30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest
32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money?
34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing
35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have...
37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space
40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis
42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game
45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after
48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's video on YouTube:
https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/
"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/
"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/
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#AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook