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Inside the Fed’s Mind: Taylor Rule Talk + ACUMA Highlights | Optimal Insights | Sept. 29, 2025

Inside the Fed’s Mind: Taylor Rule Talk + ACUMA Highlights | Optimal Insights | Sept. 29, 2025

Episode 52 Published 9 months, 1 week ago
Description

In the first half of this episode, Jim Glennon is joined by Jeff McCarty, Kevin Foley, and Alex Hebner to discuss current market conditions, the potential government shutdown, and the Taylor Rule – a formula used to estimate the ideal federal funds rate. The team analyzes Stephen Miran’s public application of the rule and his controversial suggestion that rates should be two points lower than current levels.

Taylor Rule: i=r∗+π+0.5(π−π∗)+0.5(y−y∗)

·     i = Target federal funds rate

·     r* = Equilibrium real interest rate (often assumed to be around 2%)

·     π = Current inflation rate

·     π* = Target inflation rate (commonly 2%)

·     y = Log of real GDP

·      y* = Log of potential GDP (i.e., full employment output)

Later in the episode, Olivia DeLancey joins Jim Glennon to share highlights from the ACUMA Annual Conference. Olivia reflects on the collaborative spirit of credit unions, their focus on member experience, and the marketing challenges faced by credit union loan officers. Her insights emphasize the importance of content strategy and community-driven engagement in the mortgage space.

Tune in to gain valuable insights to help you stay ahead and maximize your profitability in the ever-evolving mortgage landscape.

Optimal Insights Team:

  • Jim Glennon, Vice President of Hedging and Trading Client Services
  • Jeff McCarty, Vice President of Hedging and Trading Product
  • Alex Hebner, Hedge Account Manager
  • Kevin Foley, Director of Product Management
  • Olivia DeLancey, Director of Communications and Public Relations

Optimal Blue Production Team:

  • Executive Producer: Sara Holtz
  • Producers: Matt Gilhooly & Hailey Røise

Commentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.

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