The Recession Question: Looming Crash or False Alarm? | Episode 483

Episode 483

The Recession Question: Looming Crash or False Alarm? | Episode 483

Cutting Through the Noise

Everywhere you look, someone is screaming “recession.” Some say we’re already in one. Others shrug it off and point to the stock market hitting record highs. So who’s right? More importantly—what does it mean for you as a prepper?

This week on the Survival Punk Podcast, we’re cutting through the hype and looking at the facts. Some numbers point toward a slowdown, even a looming crash. Others show resilience. Let’s dive into what’s really happening, why it matters, and how you should be prepping either way.

The Red Flags: Why Recession Talk Won’t Die

There are some hard warning signs flashing:

• Jobs aren’t growing like they used to. July only added 73,000 jobs—way below expectations. On top of that, earlier job numbers were revised down, one of the biggest revisions in decades. That’s not nothing.

• Spending is slowing. Durable goods (big purchases like appliances and furniture) dropped $40 billion since spring. When families stop buying the big stuff, it’s usually a sign of stress.

• Tariffs and prices are climbing. Import costs are up, pushing prices higher. Economists call this “stagflation”—rising prices in a slowing economy.

• Models are flashing red. A new recession classifier model gave a 71% chance we’re already in recession as of May 2025. That should get your attention.

These red flags don’t guarantee collapse, but they’re the kind of smoke you don’t ignore.

The Pushback: Why We Might Be Fine

But here’s the kicker: the economy is weird right now, and not all signs point down.

• The rich are still spending. High-income households are keeping the wheels turning. Wages are up slightly, and total labor income has been rising.

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  Published on 1 week, 1 day ago