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2025 8-19 Matters of Democracy Trump's Foreign Policy; MEDICARE CHANGES!, Civcs, Immigration
Description
Trump's Foreign Policy and Political Conduct a consistent pattern in Donald Trump's approach to foreign policy and domestic politics, characterized by self-interest, susceptibility to manipulation, and a disregard for established norms.
Republicans, led by Speaker Mike Johnson, are employing strategies that leverage perceived voter ignorance of basic civics: Redistricting Double Standard: Johnson's criticism of California's redistricting efforts as an "illegal power grab" while implicitly defending Texas's similar maneuvers is highlighted as a "crime against civic education." The author compares this to Mitch McConnell's "rules for appointing a Supreme Court justice in the last year of a presidential term, which boiled down to 'yes for Republican nominees to the Court, but NO for Democratic nominees.'" Weaponizing Impeachment: Republicans are warning that if Democrats gain control of the House, they will "immediately impeach Trump, and that will be the end of the Trump presidency, MAGA, etc." This strategy "conveniently overlooks that an impeachment won't remove Trump, only a conviction," which is highly unlikely to pass the Senate. The article suggests this tactic primarily serves to "gin up MAGA voters."
The "Medicare Madness: Possible Cost Increases On Horizon" article details significant disruptions and anticipated changes to Medicare for beneficiaries and advisors, particularly in 2025 and heading into 2026.
Medicare Past Disruptions (2025 Plan Year)
- "Donut Hole" Elimination: The elimination of the prescription drug "donut hole" was initially welcomed, reducing the maximum out-of-pocket for prescriptions from $8,000 in 2024 to $2,000 in 2025.
- Unintended Consequences of Cost Recoupment: Insurance companies recouped these "lost dollars by increasing prescription costs, spreading them throughout their formularies... increasing plan premiums, reducing benefits, or a combination of all three."
- Increased Operating Losses: Post-COVID Medicare-related costs rose, outpacing reimbursement rates, leading many insurance companies to post operating losses in 2024. This resulted in some carriers and plans leaving the Medicare market, forcing enrollees to find alternatives.
Medicare Anticipated Disruptions (2026 Plan Year)
- Medigap Increases: Clients with Medigap plans will likely experience "double-digit increases this year, or will in the year to come," due to new entrants pricing plans below breakeven, increasing medical expenses, and the introduction of "birthday rules" in many states allowing plan changes without medical underwriting.
- Medicare Advantage Changes: Medicare Advantage plans may see "premium increases, benefit deductions, the loss of a PPO offering in place of an HMO, prescription drug increases, and, in some cases, discontinuation of plans."
- Impact of "One Big Beautiful Bill": This legislation introduces several key changes:
- Automatic Spending Cuts (2026-2034): Roughly "$500 billion" in Medicare funding cuts will be triggered unless Congress acts. Industry leaders anticipate "reduction of provider reimbursement rates," potentially leading to "fewer providers accepting Medicare" and a "loss of ancillary benefits" in Medicare Advantage plans (dental, vision, hearing).
- HSA Contributions: As of January 1, 2026, working seniors enrolled in Part A only with high-deductible health plans can continue making HSA contributions.
- Delayed Drug Negotiation: Negotiation for high-end Part D drugs, a provision of the Inflation Reduction Act, is delayed.