Episode Details
Back to EpisodesToo Much Rain in July?? Is That Even Possible?? (Corn Crop)
Description
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube
Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
0:00 Too Much Rain??
4:03 USDA Report
8:15 Tariff News
9:54 The Funds
10:45 Flash Sale
๐ฏ WEEKEND GRAIN WRAP-UP: Big Rains, Lower Stocks & New Tariffs! ๐ฝโ๐
๐ฅ What a weekend! Hereโs whatโs moving the markets:
๐ง๏ธ Weather Watch
Substantial rainfall soaked much of the US Corn Belt this weekend!
๐ฆ Best totals: Iowa, Illinois, northeast Missouri & southern Wisconsin
๐ฆ๏ธ Scattered rains: Eastern Corn Belt
๐
Forecast: More rain over the next 5โ10 days
๐ก๏ธ Temps: Near-normal now, but above-normal coming in the 8โ14 day outlook
๐ USDA Report Recap
Corn futures fell Fridayโฆ despite a friendly USDA update:
๐ฆ Ending stocks cut to 1.34B buโlowest in 4 years!
๐ข Record export forecast at 2.75B bu
๐ฝ 2025/26 corn production trimmed to 15.7B bu (still record high)
๐ฑ Soybean crop adjusted to 4.34B bu
๐ Yields? Still unchanged... but the market might be pricing in much higher yields already ๐ค
๐บ๐ธ Tariff Trouble
President Trump is back with more tariffs:
๐ Starting August 1: 30% tariff on goods from Mexico & EU
โ๏ธ Possible exemptions for companies that move manufacturing to the US
โ ๏ธ Retaliation? Trump says any response tariffs will be added on top
๐ EU & Mexico = 1/3 of total US imports
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico = #1 buyer of US corn
๐ช๐บ The EU is the #2 buyer of US soybeans and #5 of US corn
๐ฐ Money Flow: Fund Activity
๐ข Corn: Funds net buyers of 10k contracts (1st time in 6 weeks!)
๐ด Soybeans: Net sellers of 7k
๐ข SRW Wheat: Net buyers of 6k
๐ Check out the Fund Tracker charts below!
๐ซ Flash Sale Alert!
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico booked 219,900mt (8M bu) of new crop soybeans for 2025/26
๐ New crop soybean sales are already 4% ahead of USDAโs target!
๐ Hit LIKE if you enjoy these updates, and donโt forget to SUBSCRIBE for more grain market insights!
๐ฌ Drop your thoughts in the commentsโare we underestimating this corn yield?