Episode Details

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for Wednesday. The guys preview the 5 biggest games and give out best bets.

The podcast boasts a 65% win rate on best bets (17-9 record), with both hosts discussing five key matchups, statistics, and betting strategies.

Game Analysis & Best Bets

1. Alabama at Mississippi State (3:30 - 7:05)

• Mississippi State is a one-point favorite. Total set at 166.
• Key analysis:
• Alabama is coming off strong wins against Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and LSU.
• Mississippi State plays a more controlled tempo (77th in offensive possession length, 176th in tempo).
• Big East Ben’s play: Under 166 total points. Mississippi State will slow the pace and force Alabama into contested threes.
• Griffin Warner's play: Mississippi State -1 due to their depth and physicality.

2. Wisconsin at Maryland (7:07 - 12:07)

• Maryland is favored by 4 points. Total at 154.
• Key analysis:
• Wisconsin excels at getting to the foul line (85% free-throw shooting, best in the country).
• Maryland ranks 32nd nationally in avoiding fouls, making it difficult for Wisconsin to exploit this strength.
• Both analysts agree: Maryland -4.
• Griffin Warner also leans under 154, citing Maryland's defensive pressure.

3. Xavier at Creighton (12:09 - 16:11)

• Creighton is favored by 6 points. Total at 142.
• Key analysis:
• Xavier is relying on 3-pointers (38% shooting), but Creighton is elite at limiting foul shots and running teams off the 3-point line.
• Creighton has won five straight, but the schedule hasn’t been difficult.
• Big East Ben’s play: Creighton -6 because of their defensive ability.
• Griffin Warner agrees: Creighton -6, noting Xavier might struggle in Omaha.

4. St. Mary’s at Santa Clara (16:13 - 21:55)

• St. Mary’s is a 4-point favorite. Total at 139.5.
• Key analysis:
• Santa Clara has strong wins over Gonzaga and Washington State.
• St. Mary’s is 8-0 in conference play but hasn’t faced tough competition yet.
• Both analysts favor Santa Clara:
• Big East Ben: Santa Clara +4, citing their defensive size to disrupt St. Mary’s.
• Griffin Warner agrees, arguing St. Mary’s hasn’t been tested.

5. Texas at Mississippi (Ole Miss) (21:57 - 31:04)

• Ole Miss is favored by 6.5 points. Total at 140.5.
• Key analysis:
• Texas is coming off a dramatic comeback win over Texas A&M but looked shaky throughout.
• Ole Miss has lost three straight and is in desperation mode.
• Big East Ben’s play: