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Fund Traders LOVE Corn - How Aggressive Will They Be in a "Bear Market" Year??

Published 1ย year, 6ย months ago
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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Funds Increase Net-Long Position in Corn Futures ๐ŸŒฝ
The Funds have increased their net-long position in the corn market, according to CFTCโ€™s weekly Commitment of Traders data ๐Ÿ“Š. As of Tuesday, December 24, large money managers were net buyers of 8,000 corn contracts ๐ŸŒฝ. Additionally, funds were net buyers of 3,000 soybean contracts and net sellers of 12,000 SRW wheat contracts for the week ๐Ÿฅ–. This shift highlights a more bullish outlook for corn amidst broader market dynamics ๐Ÿ“ˆ.

๐ŸŒพ Corn and Soybean Futures Rally Before Late Selloff ๐Ÿ“‰
Corn futures rallied yesterday, with the March 2025 corn contract hitting a high of $4.58 per bushel before closing lower ๐ŸŒฝ. This was the highest trade since June 25th ๐Ÿ“…. The March 2025 soybean contract also rallied but faced trend resistance near $10.04, ultimately closing at $9.92 ๐ŸŒฑ. While holiday markets tend to be slower, increased farmer selling amid the rally, especially in corn, has played a role in the price action ๐Ÿ“‰.

๐ŸŒฆ๏ธ Dry Weather Forecast for Brazil and Argentina ๐ŸŒพ
Moisture deficits are expected in some areas of Brazil and Argentina over the next two weeks ๐ŸŒž. Southern Brazil, Uruguay, and northeast Argentina are forecast to receive well-below-normal rainfall ๐ŸŒง๏ธ. In particular, Rio Grande do Sul and Paranรก, key soybean-growing regions in southern Brazil, are expected to see rainfall less than 35% of normal ๐ŸŒพ. Even drier conditions are projected for parts of northeast Argentina, raising concerns about crop development ๐ŸŒฑ.

๐Ÿšข US Corn Shipments Decline, Soybean and Wheat Shipments Rise ๐Ÿ“ฆ
US corn shipments saw a decline last week, with 878,380 metric tons (35 million bushels) inspected for export, down 23% from the previous week but up 54% from the same week last year ๐ŸŒฝ. Soybean shipments were strong at 1.6 million metric tons (58 million bushels), down 12% from the prior week but up 62% compared to the same week last year ๐ŸŒฑ. Wheat shipments also increased, reaching 337,685 metric tons (12 million bushels), which was 17% lower than the previous week but 22% higher than last year ๐ŸŒพ.

๐Ÿญ ADM Faces Shareholder Pressure Amid Investigation ๐Ÿง
ADM is facing shareholder criticism after the companyโ€™s stock has fallen by about 30% this year, marking its largest decline since the 2008 financial crisis ๐Ÿ“‰. Hartwig Fuchs, an ADM shareholder and former executive, has called for the CEOโ€™s resignation, citing failures to address the companyโ€™s declining stock value. ADM disclosed an investigation into its nutrition divisionโ€™s accounting practices in January, and further errors were found in November. Fuchs is urging the CEO to offer clearer explanations to rebuild investor trust ๐Ÿ“Š.

๐Ÿ“ฆ Flash Sale of Soybean Oil ๐ŸŒฑ
The USDA reported a flash sale of soybean oil on Monday ๐Ÿ“ฆ. US exporters sold 23,000 metric tons of soybean oil to India for delivery during the 2024/2025 marketing year ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ. Since the beginning of the year, 174,000 metric tons of soybean oil have been sold through flash sales ๐ŸŒพ.

๐Ÿ”” Stay Updated & Subscribe!
For more updates on grain markets, soybean oil sales, and global trade, donโ€™t forget to LIKE ๐Ÿ‘, SUBSCRIBE ๐Ÿ””, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Letโ€™s keep the conversation going! ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’ฌ

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