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Dr. Beth Shapiro joined us to discuss recent Polling, Southern Politics, and the Ted Kennedy Legacy
Published 16 years, 8 months ago
Description
his episode opens with the hosts previewing a full slate of political topics before welcoming pollster Dr. Beth Shapiro of the Shapiro Group. The discussion begins with reflections on the life and legacy of Senator Ted Kennedy, whom the hosts praise as a compassionate statesman, legislative giant, and symbol of bipartisan leadership. Anecdotes highlight his humor, personal outreach—such as calling every Massachusetts family affected by 9/11—and the moving tributes at his funeral.
Dr. Shapiro then joins to clarify recent discrepancies in Georgia polling. She explains that differing methodologies, especially automated calling versus live callers, often account for inconsistencies. She predicts little movement in the Georgia governor’s race until candidates begin advertising, noting that early polls mainly influence media narratives and donor enthusiasm. On the Democratic side, she expects Roy Barnes to surpass 50% unless Thurbert Baker raises significant resources. For Republicans, she describes the race as “frozen,” dominated by name recognition benefiting long-time statewide figure John Oxendine.
The conversation shifts to the Atlanta mayoral race, where Shapiro argues the contest is not static. Recent polls show Lisa Borders rising into a statistical tie with Mary Norwood, while Kasim Reed lags due to lower citywide name recognition despite aggressive outreach. She anticipates a near-certain runoff.
Finally, the hosts explore the Florida Senate race, where moderate Governor Charlie Crist faces conservative challenger Marco Rubio. Shapiro sees Rubio as a potential upset threat given conservative anger and grassroots enthusiasm, though Crist’s popularity still gives him an advantage—especially in a general election.
Dr. Shapiro then joins to clarify recent discrepancies in Georgia polling. She explains that differing methodologies, especially automated calling versus live callers, often account for inconsistencies. She predicts little movement in the Georgia governor’s race until candidates begin advertising, noting that early polls mainly influence media narratives and donor enthusiasm. On the Democratic side, she expects Roy Barnes to surpass 50% unless Thurbert Baker raises significant resources. For Republicans, she describes the race as “frozen,” dominated by name recognition benefiting long-time statewide figure John Oxendine.
The conversation shifts to the Atlanta mayoral race, where Shapiro argues the contest is not static. Recent polls show Lisa Borders rising into a statistical tie with Mary Norwood, while Kasim Reed lags due to lower citywide name recognition despite aggressive outreach. She anticipates a near-certain runoff.
Finally, the hosts explore the Florida Senate race, where moderate Governor Charlie Crist faces conservative challenger Marco Rubio. Shapiro sees Rubio as a potential upset threat given conservative anger and grassroots enthusiasm, though Crist’s popularity still gives him an advantage—especially in a general election.