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For today’s episode Hashdex Chief Investment Officer Samir Kerbage shares his analysis of how the upcoming U.S. presidential election could impact global crypto markets and regulation.
Key takeaways:
* Markets appear positioned for a positive 12-18 month period regardless of election results, driven by improving liquidity conditions and Bitcoin's halving cycle
* Congressional composition may matter more than the US presidential outcome, as three critical areas require legislative action: stablecoin regulation, market infrastructure rules clarifying SEC/CFTC jurisdiction, and guidance for financial institutions
* Prediction markets are emerging as a significant force in election forecasting, with platforms like Polymarket demonstrating resilience to manipulation through financial incentives
Kerbage emphasized that while presidential candidates' crypto stances generate headlines and that markets would respond positively to a Trump victory, meaningful policy changes require Congressional action. He noted that even under a crypto-friendly administration, implementation of campaign promises would likely take significant time, particularly regarding regulatory reforms.
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The Hashdex CIO expressed optimism about crypto markets over the next 12-18 months, citing macro factors like improving liquidity conditions alongside crypto-specific catalysts such as Bitcoin's halving cycle. However, he cautioned that a contested election outcome could introduce significant market volatility, as un
Published on 1Â year, 2Â months ago
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