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Podcast EP 133 Welcome to the 2024 HUNGER GAMES! (Feb 5)

Podcast EP 133 Welcome to the 2024 HUNGER GAMES! (Feb 5)

Published 2 years, 2 months ago
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Show Notes

Summary of the day

Disclaimer: Prices can go a lot higher regardless of all below. Everyone who has a vested interest in higher prices are selling the data and stories that will make it so.

That is why it is counter intuitive to consume too much financial content. Even mine. That is also why my podcasts are so short vs what you see out there in the marketplace. I try to focus on the things that matter most in under 15 min.

The market already has priced all below news into prices already. That is also why I note that listening to earnings is for entertainment only. The price action is king.

When you can ingest “NARRATIVE” data like earnings and sell side packaged news and still function as a trader and win, you are making huge progress in the psychology of trading.

So before I get into the narrative data, I want to point out charts and “What Stuck out” section first!

Because price action and charts are more important than news and narrative. I would say the healthy ratio of attention or head space for a good trader is at minimum 90:10. 90% price action and psychology vs 10% news, earnings and narrative.

Stuck out over the weekend

$NDX Nasdaq 100 ratio chart to QQEW Equal Weight Nasdaq

Here is the Semi-conductor index $SOX:

The Semi Conductor index has tested this Red resistance line only three times since the peak of Dot-com. Here we are again!

Closeup:

I now present to you JP Morgan (Linear chart). $JPM. Maybe it is nothing. Maybe this trend line will be made irrelevant as it roars higher? We just breached it. Since the year 1998, it has only touched this line twice (dotcom and covid) upon which sold off along with broader markets. Well here we are again…

$XLF #BANKS#WALLST

Here is #Apple $AAPL (Log chart)

This purple trend has been tested 6 times since the Dot-com crash. It got close during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008, but no cigar. 3 times since the bottom of New Yrs Eve 2022. Maybe it is nothing. But if that trend line breaks down, watch out for your retirement accounts! Look at the second chart. We pierced below it on Friday before defending it. Well here we are again…

Bouncing today, Monday trying to test 50 day ma.

And new data from my weekend content consumption of Adam Taggart and Sven from Northman trader. A negative divergence in Value Line XGV.

Financial freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit!

Now let’s get into the narratives…

Mother of all doom scrolls by Elmo. It doesn’t seem everyone is “fine” with how things are going in America as they claim.

https://twitter.com/elmo/status/1751995117366296904

And in a story I haven’t seen anywhere except via Peter Schiff, Nobody Special on YouTube and Adam Taggart, the Fridays jobs report was simply a lie.

I checked the math. All they did was revise last yrs monthly numbers so the na

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