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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – In Warsh, We Trust? (7/20/26)

Episode 322

Financial markets are always trying to anticipate what the Fed's next move may be. Making an accurate prediction may become more challenging under ne…

21 hours ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Dragon Boat Diplomacy: China’s Outreach to US Citizens (7/13/2026)

Episode 321

China's use of soft power to create a favorable public perception can reveal goals and tendencies useful for investors. Confluence Chief Market Strat…

1 week ago

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The Confluence Mailbag –  No Solutions, Only Tradeoffs: Investor Self-Awareness, Oil's False Calm, and Fed Opacity (7/7/26)
The Confluence Mailbag – No Solutions, Only Tradeoffs: Investor Self-Awareness, Oil's False Calm, and Fed Opacity (7/7/26)

Episode 320

Bill O'Grady and Mark Keller explore why investors should resist the temptation to abandon their core investment style during periods of market momen…

1 week, 6 days ago

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Confluence of Ideas - The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook
Confluence of Ideas - The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook

Episode 319

In our latest episode, the Confluence Macroeconomic Team breaks down the six geopolitical trends that we believe will shape the international landsca…

3 weeks ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Evolution of the Tech Life Cycle (6/29/26)

Episode 318

Today's tech giants are poised for a maturity shift over the coming years, transitioning from high growth companies into more established market lead…

3 weeks ago

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Confluence of Ideas – Deja vu for Dividends?
Confluence of Ideas – Deja vu for Dividends?

Episode 317

History is rhyming. The last time dividend stocks were this out of favor, the dot-com bubble was peaking. Portfolio Manager Tom Dugan joins Director …

3 weeks, 6 days ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – China Cut Its Energy Imports (6/15/26)

Episode 316

There was a bit of welcome news for consumers as world oil prices were moderating in early June even though the Strait of Hormuz remained essentially…

1 month ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Excess Capacity and Policy Change (6/11/2026)

Episode 315

One long trusted economic indicator may no longer reliably indicate a noninflationary environment. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-…

1 month, 1 week ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The UAE's Exit From OPEC (6/1/26)

Episode 314

It may have taken a back seat among recent news headlines, but there has been a big shakeup within OPEC. Confluence Advisory Director of Market Strat…

1 month, 2 weeks ago

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The Confluence Mailbag –  The End of Hegemony, the Iran Stalemate, and the AI Bubble (5/26/26)
The Confluence Mailbag – The End of Hegemony, the Iran Stalemate, and the AI Bubble (5/26/26)

Episode 313

In the latest Confluence Mailbag, Bill O'Grady and Mark Keller revisit their long-held forecast that US hegemony is in decline and consider what a re…

1 month, 3 weeks ago

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