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An Information-Rich Week

Episode 357

This article, while nominally titled “Notes on the Week Ahead”, usually detours almost immediately into other issues. However, since we’ve entered wh…

15 hours ago

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Haunted Housing: The Outlook for Residential Real Estate

Episode 356

The housing market is haunted. It’s haunted by the legacy of too-easy monetary policy for well over a decade which allowed prices to vault higher in …

1 week ago

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A Season of Moderation in the Year of Boom and Doom

Episode 355

This has been a year of distinct seasons for financial markets. The first quarter was dominated by the joint U.S./Israeli attack on Iran and its afte…

3 weeks ago

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The PCE-CPI Gap and the Outlook for Further Fed Tightening

Episode 354

On balance, I don’t believe that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates last week. However, I must confess that there was one referenc…

1 month, 1 week ago

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The Fed Paints itself into a Rate-Hiking Corner

Episode 353

In the Broadway musical, Fiddler on the Roof, Tevye, the well-meaning patriarch of a poor family, has to make some tough choices in a complicated tim…

1 month, 2 weeks ago

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The New, New Normal

Episode 352

The era of low growth, low inflation and super-low interest rates that followed the Great Financial Crisis was christened by Mohamed El-Erian as “The…

1 month, 3 weeks ago

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Labor Market Mysteries

Episode 351

In a generally upbeat Jackson Hole speech on Friday, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh asserted that “labor markets are consistent with full employment”. Give…

2 months ago

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The Road to $40 Trillion

Episode 350

Money was tight in our early married years. We bought a house we couldn’t afford, purchased a car we couldn’t afford and had all the expenses attenda…

2 months, 1 week ago

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What Lies Beneath: An Updated Outlook on the Economy and Investing

Episode 349

The summer of 2026 has been dominated by the AI boom. Some fear that AI is advancing too quickly for thoughtful regulation. Others worry that end-use…

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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The People versus Inflation

Episode 348

No one liked the defendant. That much was clear. But when the jury retired to consider their verdict, they hardly knew where to start. The case was s…

3 months ago

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